考虑电气功能的多元失效模式下变电站设备地震易损性评估

MULTI-FAILURE-MODE SEISMIC RISK EVALUATION FOR SUBSTATION EQUIPMENT CONSIDERING ELECTRICAL FUNCTION

  • 摘要: 为保障电力系统抗震韧性评估结果的有效性,地震作用下变电站设备位移以及变形可能导致的电气功能失效必须予以考虑。但现有易损性评估框架仍仅聚焦于结构失效模式,难以掌握设备在地震下的电气功能变化。该文以某特高压旁路开关为例,考虑设备不同工作状态,研究了地震作用下设备的基本结构性能以及电气使用性能,分析了各类潜在破坏模式。采用增量动力分析法计算了多元破坏模式下的失效概率,发现忽略电气功能失效将显著低估设备的破坏风险;设备的功能失效主要由设备间过大的相对位移导致。将不同失效模式相组合,定义了低、中、高要求三种组合开展地震易损性分析。结果表明,不同地震烈度水平下,设备的主导失效模式是动态变化的。在较低烈度时可仅采用低要求的评估;在较高烈度下则应根据实际安全需求采用中、高要求评估。

     

    Abstract: To ensure effective seismic resilience evaluation for electrical systems, the electrical failures caused by deformation and displacement of substation equipment should be carefully considered. However, existing evaluation frameworks focus on the level of structural failure and cannot reveal the actual electrical performance. Taking an ultra-high voltage bypass switch as an example, this paper studies the basic structural performance and electrical performance of the equipment under earthquake actions, and analyzes various potential failure modes by considering different working conditions of the equipment. The probability of failure under multiple failure modes is calculated using incremental dynamic analysis, and it is found that ignoring the failure of electrical functions will significantly underestimate the failure risk of the equipment, and the electrical functional failure is mainly brought by the excessive relative displacement response among equipment. By combining different modes of structural failure and electrical functional failure, three evaluation combinations (i.e., low, medium, and high requirement) are defined, and earthquake vulnerability analysis is carried out. The results show that the seismic intensity can greatly influence the predominant failure mode. At a low intensity, only low-requirement evaluation is required; while at a high intensity, medium- or high-requirement evaluation should be chosen according to equipment safety demand.

     

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