面向RC框架结构地震易损性分析的地震动不确定性评估与优化方法

UNCERTAINTY EVALUATION AND OPTIMIZATION METHOD OF GROUND MOTION FOR SEISMIC FRAGILITY ANALYSIS OF RC FRAME STRUCTURES

  • 摘要: 为了评估并减少结构倒塌易损性分析中输入地震动的不确定性,提出了基于Lasso ( Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, Lasso)回归的地震动不确定性分析方法:采用基于目标谱匹配方法选取地震动记录组成地震动集,并选取地震工程研究中常用的地震动强度指标(Intensity Measure, IM)集,基于Lasso回归筛选有效预测结构倒塌能力的地震动IM,对筛选后的地震动IM进行相关性分析,并提取关键特征作为聚类依据,对原始地震动集进行地震动聚类;根据基于随机抽样的结构地震倒塌易损性分析中地震动不确定性量化方法,将地震动聚类结果作为抽样依据进行随机抽样,实现结构地震倒塌易损性评估中地震动不确定性影响的量化。结果表明,与两个未采用本文不确定性量化方法的对照组不确定性量化分析结果对比,不同层高下的结构,不确定性量化值均降低50%以上,本文提出的方法可有效降低易损性分析中地震动不确定性的影响;同时达到相同精度的结构地震倒塌易损性分析可以减少一半计算量,节约了计算资源。

     

    Abstract: In order to evaluate and reduce the input ground motion uncertainty in the assessment of structural collapse vulnerability, a ground motion uncertainty analysis method based on Lasso regression (Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, Lasso) is proposed. The ground motion set is composed of ground motion records selected based on the target spectrum matching method, and the ground motion intensity measure (IM) set commonly used in seismic engineering research is selected. The effective IM for predicting the collapse capacity of structures is selected based on the Lasso regression, followed by correlation analysis of the selected IM. The key features are extracted as the clustering basis, and the ground motion clustering is carried out on the original ground motion set. According to the quantitative method of ground motion uncertainty in structural seismic collapse vulnerability analysis based on random sampling, the ground motion clustering results are used as the sampling basis for random sampling to quantify the influence of ground motion uncertainty in structural seismic collapse vulnerability assessment. The results show that compared with the uncertainty quantitative analysis results of the two control groups without using the uncertainty quantitative method in this paper, the uncertainty quantitative values of the structures with different story heights are reduced by more than 50%. The method proposed in this paper can effectively reduce the influence of ground motion uncertainty in vulnerability analysis. The seismic collapse fragility analysis of structures with the same accuracy at the same time can reduce the amount of calculation by half and save computing resources.

     

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