基于Copula理论的混凝土受拉本构参数相关性研究

RESEARCH ON THE CORRELATION OF TENSILE CONSTITUTIVE PARAMETERS FOR CONCRETE UPON COPULA THEORY

  • 摘要: 基于C25、C30与C50三种强度等级共122条混凝土单轴受拉应力-应变全曲线试验数据,结合《混凝土结构设计规范》(GB50010-2010)建议的混凝土单轴受拉损伤本构模型,采用最佳平方逼近与遗传算法相结合的反演方法,识别了混凝土弹性模量、受拉峰值强度、受拉峰值应变以及混凝土受拉下降段参数四个关键本构参数。通过极大似然估计、Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S)检验与Akaike信息准则(AIC),确定了各参数的最优边缘概率分布;进而采用正则藤(R-Vine)Copula模型刻画了四个参数间复杂的非线性相依结构,并对其拟合优度进行了检验。利用条件抽样技术生成具有目标相关结构的参数样本,重构了反映本构参数相关性的混凝土随机受拉本构关系。结果表明,基于Copula理论生成的参数样本能够重构混凝土受拉本构关系,且样本曲线集合的统计特征(均值与标准差)与参数识别曲线高度吻合。建立了不同强度等级的混凝土受拉本构参数联合概率模型,将Copula理论在混凝土参数相关性分析中的应用从单一强度、受压工况拓展至不同强度等级、受拉工况,为混凝土结构的随机非线性分析与可靠度设计提供了理论支撑。

     

    Abstract: Based on experimental data from 122 complete uniaxial tensile stress-strain curves of concrete with three strength grades (C25, C30, and C50), and in conjunction with the tensile constitutive damage model recommended in the Code for Design of Concrete Structures (GB 50010-2010), four key parameters—elastic modulus, tensile peak strength, tensile peak strain, and the concrete descending branch parameter—are identified through an inverse method integrating optimal square approximation with a genetic algorithm. The optimal marginal probability distribution of each parameter is determined using the maximum likelihood estimation, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). Subsequently, a regular vine (R-Vine) Copula model is adopted to characterize the complex nonlinear dependence structure among the four parameters, and its goodness of fit is tested. Conditional sampling techniques are utilized to generate parameter samples with the target correlation structure, thereby reconstructing the stochastic tensile constitutive relationship of concrete that accounts for correlations among constitutive parameters. The research results show that the parameter samples generated via Copula theory reconstruct the tensile constitutive relationship of concrete, and that the statistical characteristics (mean and standard deviation) of the sample curve set closely match those of the parameter-identified curves. A joint probability model for the concrete tensile constitutive parameters across different strength grades is established, extending the concrete parameter correlation analysis from the case of a single strength grade and compressive loadings to multiple strength grades and tensile loadings, which provides a theoretical support for stochastic nonlinear analyses and for the reliability-based design of concrete structures.

     

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